• Log In

  • FCCC members only | 29 May, 2018


    The club’s new board members for the year 2018/2019 will be elected.

    We count on members’ support and look forward to seeing you! Please remember that registration in advance is necessary!

    Speaker | 11 May, 2018

    China’s Political Regime Resilience under Xi Jinping and Beyond

    Some political scientists, particularly in the United States (David Shambaugh, Minxin Pei), have predicted the demise of People’s Republic of China (PRC) in a not too distant future. The Chinese society’s growing expectations, the slowing down of the economy and growing debt as well a level of corruption that Xi has difficulties ferreting out are often mentioned as major causes of future political change.

    According to the speaker, on the contrary, China’s one-party system is strong and has the capacity to continue to adapt to an ever changing economic, social and international environment. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has the economic and financial means to prevent any organized political opposition from taking shape, guarantee the allegiance of most of the elites, and the support or the indifference of the majority of the society. The Chinese society’s lack of democratic culture and limited political demands will also continue to help the CCP to remain unchallenged. More importantly, most of the Chinese elites still favor an authoritarian system and do not push for any genuine democratization of the regime.

    Jean-Pierre Cabestan is Professor and Head of the Department of Government and International Studies, Hong Kong Baptist University. He is also Director General of HKBU Europe Asia Policy Centre for Comparative Research (EAP) as well as associate researcher at the Asia Centre, Paris and at the French Centre for Research on Contemporary China in Hong Kong. His most recent publications include La politique internationale de la Chine. Entre intégration et volonté de puissance, Paris, Presses de Sciences Po, 2010 (updated second edition published in 2015); China and the Global Financial Crisis. He has also published numerous articles and contributions in English on China’s political system and reform, Chinese law, the relations across the Taiwan Strait and Taiwanese politics. He received his Ph.D. from the University of Paris 1 (Panthéon-Sorbonne).